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You must provide the evidence utilized in determining your projections . <br />Response 2.1 : <br />Projection* <br />Response 2.1 : <br />Evidence* <br />Response 2.2: <br />Projection * <br />Response 2.2: <br />Evidence* <br />1. Away fromtl1eir place of residence or business and staying overnight in paid accormodalions; <br />We project 442 person-nights. <br />Assuming on average 2.5 persons per room, that \MJUld be approximately 176 <br />room-nights. <br />2500 cl1aracter lirrit <br />Our projections for the 2019 year are derived from the relationship between the <br />requested additional dollars of advertising ($6300) and the resultant visitors per <br />dollar of addit ional advertising. We used the visitors /dollar of advertising averaged <br />across the last four years that we advertised broadly (2010-2013), rather than <br />advertising specific events, as we did from 2014 to 2017. The resulting average <br />value is 2.34 visitors per dollar of ads .. The calculations are presented in Table <br />Below: <br />TABLE 3: Calculation of Visitor/Advertising Relationship <br />2010 201120122013 <br />Annual Total Visits 3725 4320 5098 7315 <br />Advert Budget $ 1384 2888 207 4 2575 <br />Visits/$ Advert 2 .69 1.50 2.45 2. 73 2.34 Row Avg <br />To err on the safe side, we use only 1 /3 of that 2.34 relationship. Therefore , if we <br />are to increase our marketing by $6300, we estimate that this will increase our <br />visitations by: $6300 X2.34 X 1/3= 4914 Total Additional Visitors. <br />Next, we also used the logbooks' and surveys' values of 18% of total visitors who <br />noted that they did stay overnight. Unfortunately, we did not query as to \o\kiether <br />these guests stayed at paid accommodations or with local families . Therefore we <br />assumed that 112th of the 18% overnighters were in paid lodg ing. <br />Therefore, 18 % of the total 4914 additional visitors , or 884 stayed overnight. <br />And 1 /2 of the overnighters , or 442 \MJuld pay for lodgings . A little more than 1 <br />person /day . <br />2500 ch arac ter lirrit <br />2.To a place fifty mies or rmre away from their place of residence or business for the day or slaying overnight; <br />We project 2307 persons. <br />2500 character lirrit <br />According to the ZIP Codes listed in our visitor logs, as approximately confirmed by <br />Zip Codes of attendees at our Antiques Show, 55% of our visitors came from more <br />than 50 miles away. <br />Therefore: 55% of 4914 (new visitors) = 2307 new vis itors from more than 50 miles <br />away . <br />TABLE 4: Home of Origin of Visitors <br />Origin of Visitors% of Total Visitors <br />Local: Less than 50 miles 19% <br />Regional: More than 50 miles 55% <br />Out of State or Country 26% <br />Total 100% <br />2500 character lirrit