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4��t <br />Fsis1� �Yn v3rrf'q <br />COMMUNITY DEVELOPMENT DEPARTMENT <br />501 North Anderson Street, Ellensburg WA 98926 <br />Date: March 16, 2017 <br />From: Angela San Filippo, Long Range Planner <br />RE: Kittitas County Conference of Governments recommendation on employment projection <br />and allocation <br />Summary <br />In addition to the population projection and allocation recommendation COG has reached a <br />recommendation for employment projections and allocations. This recommendation is based on the <br />countywide land capacity analysis and population and employment study. <br />COG voted unanimously on the following employment projection and allocation: <br />• 2.00% average annual employment growth rate <br />• 80% of employment growth to be located in urban areas (cities and their UGAs) <br />• 20% of employment growth to be located in rural areas outside of established UGAs <br />This allocation is based on carrying forward how employment is currently split in the County with about <br />78% located in urban areas and about 22% located in rural areas. <br />The allocation to the individual jurisdictions was based on each jurisdiction maintaining their 2015 share <br />of employment. <br />Ellensburg's current share of employment is about 64% <br />• COG's allocation recommendation results in 63% of employment located in Ellensburg in 2037 <br />Table 1. Employment allocation to each jurisdiction <br />Jurisdiction <br />2015 Employment <br />20 year employment allocation <br />2037 Employment <br />Cie Elum <br />2,046 <br />1,353 <br />3,399 <br />Ellensburg <br />11,490 <br />6,998 <br />18,488 <br />Kittitas <br />440 <br />365 <br />804 <br />Rosin <br />1,150 <br />202 <br />1,352 <br />South Cie Elum <br />7 <br />6 <br />13 <br />Rural County <br />4,230 <br />2,231 <br />61461 <br />Total <br />19,362 <br />11,155 <br />30,617 <br />The employment allocated to each jurisdiction is limited by their current employment capacity. <br />Employment capacity was estimated based on current zoning and regulations that pertain to <br />commercial and industrial development. <br />• Ellensburg's current employment capacity is equal to the 6,998 allocated to Ellensburg <br />Recap of population projection and allocation <br />