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<br />kimley-horn.com 2828 Colby Avenue | Suite 200, Everett, WA 98201 425 708 8275 <br /> <br /> <br />Population Projection <br />The Table below presents the OFM 2046 Medium countywide population projection of 60,621. State <br />guidance recommends counties use the OFM Medium projection and adjust as needed using local <br />knowledge and research. The County proposes to adopt the OFM Medium projection for the 2046 planning <br />period. Growth associated with the medium projection is allocated to each community in the last column of <br />the table. These population allocations were determined based off the HAPT spreadsheet results using <br />allocation method C. <br />Jurisdiction <br />2020 Census <br />Population <br />Estimate <br />2046 Population <br />Projection (OFM Medium <br />Projection) <br />Projected Population <br />Increase 2020-2046 <br />Kittitas County 46,468 60,621 14,153 <br />Unincorporated <br />Kittitas County* 20,567 27,847 7,280 <br />Cle Elum 2,157 3,005 848 <br />Ellensburg 20,797 25,631 4,834 <br />Kittitas 1,438 1,974 536 <br />Roslyn 950 1,395 445 <br />South Cle Elum 559 768 209 <br />*Includes unincorporated UGAs of each City. Housing allocation table further breaks this down. <br />Housing Target and Allocations <br />State law requires counties to use the Housing for All Planning Tool (HAPT) to calculate housing needs. <br />The HAPT offers three methodologies for allocating countywide housing needs to the county and each city. <br />Method C, which allocates housing types affordable to households earning 0-50% of AMI to urban growth <br />areas, is proposed by the County. Allocation methods A and B, developed by Commerce prior to Method <br />C, allocate 0-50% growth to rural and resource land areas. Given 0-50% growth would be associated with <br />multi-family housing and housing near public services, it is not appropriate for rural and resource lands. <br />This emphasizes the need to utilize Method C. The allocation between cities, unincorporated UGAs, and <br />unincorporated rural lands is based on existing housing supply share and adjusted through Method C. The <br />screenshot below and the HAPT spreadsheet shows the countywide housing target of 25,601. <br />Exhibit 1