HomeMy WebLinkAboutRes-2017-068 Pop and Employment ProjectionsBOARD OF COUNTY COMMISSIONERS
COUNTY OF KITTITAS
STATE OF WASHINGTON
RESOLUTION NO. 2017-Ow ~
A Resolution to Formally Adopt the Population and Employment Projections
Recommended by the Conference of Governments of Kittitas County
WHEREAS, Kittitas County opted into the GMA (GMA), RCW 36.70A, voluntarily on
December 27,1990, through Resolution 90-138; and; and
WHEREAS, Kittitas County is required to update its Comprehensive Plan under the
requirements of RCW 36.70A for the year 2037 by June 30,2017; and
WHEREAS, Employment and population projections are a key element in projecting land use
demands and establishing policies for such development in the creation and
adoption of Comprehensive Plan update; and
WHEREAS, Kittitas County made contract in 2015 with BERK and Associates to provide an
estimate of population projection and land use capacity analysis for the year
2037; and
WHEREAS, BERK has made and presented such projections to the KCCOG and the Board of
County Commissioners, and
WHEREAS, The Kittitas County Conference of Governments (KCCOG) has been meeting
with County and City of Ellensburg since February, 2016 to discuss such
projections; and
WHEREAS, After several meetings throughout 2016, the KCCOG recommended to the Board
of County Commissioners approval of the 2037 population projections provided
by staff on November 16, 2016; and
WHEREAS, The population projection was presented to the Board of County Commissioners
at a regular study session to discuss the population projection and allocation; and
WHEREAS, Additional meetings were held before the KCCOG to discuss 2037 employment
projections and allocation throughout the County; and
WHEREAS, 2037 employment projections and distribution were approved by KCCOG for
recommendation to the Board of County Commissioners at the regularly
scheduled March 15, 2017 meeting; and
Resolution 2017-O(;;J
WHEREAS, The KCCOG recommended that such 2037 population and employment
projections be presented to the Board of County Commissioners for their formal
approval.
NOW, THEREFORE, BE IT RESOLVED AND IT IS HEREBY ORDERED, that the attached
Population and Employment projections by jurisdiction shall be adopted as the official
projections for the update of the 2037 Kittitas County Comprehensive Plan as provided in
Exhibit A.
ADOPTED this 4th day of April, 2017
BOARD OF COUNTY COMMISSIONERS
KIT :r-OUNTY, WASHINGTON
Obie O'Brien, Commissioner
APPROVED AS TO FORM:
Neil Caulkins,
Deputy Prosecuting Attorney
Resolution 2017-__
Attachment A
Kittitas County Population and Employment Allocations for 2037
The Kittitas County population/employment projections and allocations establish the growth forecasts
to be used for planning purposes and the specific growth targets for each Urban Growth Area (UGA). As
established by the Washington Growth Management Act (RCW 43.62.035), the State of Washington
Office of Financial Management (OFM) prepares twenty-year growth management planning population
projections for each county planning under GMA. The OFM prepares high, medium and low forecasts for
each county, with the middle range representing the most likely scenario. Total county forecasts must
be based upon the most recent projection provided by the OFM when counties and jurisdictions make
population projections for planning purposes (RCW 36.70A.110(2)).
The county level forecasts are reviewed and distributed among the jurisdictions in the County through a
collaborative process. The Kittitas County Conference of Governments (KCCOG) is the body charged with
leading this process. Once population allocations are established, jurisdictions must develop plans that
demonstrate the capacity to accommodate their 20-year population projection consistent with GMA.
The KCCOG updated the Kittitas County population allocation based on a projected two percent (2%)
overall annual County population growth and within the OFM 2012 population forecast. This results in a
Kittitas County total population forecast of 65,967 in 2037. The allocation adopted by the KCCOG for
anticipated population growth of the municipal UGAs and the unincorporated rural County is based
upon the assumption that sixty-five percent (65%) of the future population will reside within urban
areas and that thirty-five percent (35%) will reside in rural areas of the County. County Employment
projection is based upon an employment estimate of 19,362 workers in 2015 with an anticipated growth
rate of two percent (2%). Employment allocation and projection is based upon the assumption that
eighty percent (80%) of job growth will locate in urban areas (and that twenty percent (20%) percent
will locate in rural areas outside the established urban growth areas. Results from this analysis are
shown below:
Table 1. 2037 Population and Employment Projection
Jurisdiction 2037 Population 2037 Population 2037 Employment 2037 Employment
Growth Growth*
Cle Elum 1808 3683 1353 3399
Ellensburg 11757 32540 6998 18488
Kittitas 807 2288 365 804
Roslyn 307 1203 202 1352
South Cle Elum 464 1059 6 13
County Rural 8154 25197 2231 6461
Kittitas County
Total Population 23297 65967 11155 30517
and Employment
*2015 Employment estimates based on total countywide employment estimate of 19,362 and 2015
employment shares