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2027 Major Revenue Forecast Methodology <br />Property Tax Sales Tax <br />Base: 2026 approved Levy Base: 2026 projected collections <br />Growth assumption: ~3.0%Growth assumption: ~2.6% <br />Considers statutory levy growth and <br />anticipated growth in the taxable <br />assessment base, including new <br />construction and improvements <br />Based primarily on historical local <br />collections and recent collection trends, <br />with consideration of the broader <br />economic outlook <br />Historical growth and year-to-year <br />volatility of additions were considered <br />when establishing the forecast <br />Forecast intentionally avoids placing too <br />much weight on volatility while keeping <br />trend in mind <br />2027 Estimate: $11.12M 2027 Estimate: $11.16M <br />Overall Approach <br />Use the most recent projected actual as the starting point → evaluate historical <br />trends and known economic/assessment factors → apply a moderate, supportable <br />growth assumption → avoid budgeting to unrealistic outcomes. <br />-3% <br />-2% <br />-1% <br />0% <br />1% <br />2% <br />3% <br />4% <br />$ 6 MM <br />$ 7 MM <br />$ 8 MM <br />$ 9 MM <br />$ 10 MM <br />$ 11 MM <br />$ 12 MM <br />2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 <br />Projection <br />2027 <br />Proposed <br />Year over Year Unincorporated Sales Tax <br />Total Dollar Value and Percentage Change