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$136 spent per person per day. Be~ause these expenditures are primarily for tourist <br />services. we assume that 82% of expenditures will impact the local economy. The <br />remaining 18% wi,11 go to vendors who travel to the county for these events, and are <br />therefore not considered "local.11 <br />Findings of the Impact Model <br />We applied the impact model only to the results of Scenarios 3 and 4, the "most likelt <br />feasibility models; both were based upon the same starting numbers of horses across <br />the years of analysis. As the Impact model results are linear functions of the number of <br />horses and therefore visitors. impacts for the other feasibility runs can be easily <br />calculated. Table 9 shows the logic and results of the model. let us use the Year Six <br />co1u·mn to show the impact of the horse park ln its maturity stage. DJrect participant <br />expenditures of $7,334,838 are shown on line 1; these are comprised of the number of <br />hors~s. times the number of participants per hors~. times the spending at $138 p~r day. <br />Line 1 is next margined at 95% to reflect the fact that 95% of participants are from <br />outside the county. (Expenditures by In-county participants are netted out as It is <br />assumed that this money would be spent in the county even without the horse park.) <br />This 111arglning yields the $6,968,096 in line 2, spending by participants on the local <br />market. Line 3 gives the $347,540 of expenditures made by the horse park <br />administn:ltion; it is calculated by multiplying horse park expenses by 48% to account <br />for expenses that flow Into the local economy; the remaining 52% will be spent outside <br />the local area. The sum of these two categories of local expenses (local spending by <br />participants, shown in line 2 plus spending on horse park operations, shown on line 3) <br />appears as $7,315,636 in line 4 as local total direct expenditures. These, in tum are <br />multiplied by the local (county) multiplier of 1.15 to yield local total impacts, shown lil <br />line 5. This number, $8,412,982 represents the total money flows, including indirect <br />and induced effects in the local economy that are attributable to the horse park. Using <br />the employment multiplier of 17 jobs per million dollars of direct expenditures glves us <br />41 <br />•':',